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汇通财经APP讯——北京时间周五（7月7日）20:30，美国将公布6月季调后非农就业人口变动和失业率。周四（7月6日），包括摩根士丹利在内的25家大型投行发表了对此次数据的前瞻。
25家大型投行预测显示，5月非农大幅好于预期后，6月非农增速将回落，但投行之间的增幅预期差距较大。具体而言，美国6月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于17.5万-27.5万（前值33.9万），失业率料介于3.6%-3.7%（前值3.7%），平均时薪年率增幅料介于4.2%-4.3%（前值4.3%）。
和前值相比，投行认为6月非农增速放缓，相比之下失业率和平均时薪年率和前值相差不大。若数据显示6月非农增幅真如投行预测那样回落，黄金有望获得支撑。
主要投行                  6月非农就业人口增幅预期        6月失业率6月平均时薪年率涨幅预期
蒙特利尔银行                     22万                           3.70%          4.20%           
法国巴黎银行                     23万                           3.60%          4.20%
巴克莱                             22.5万                           3.60%          4.20%
西部银行                     22万                           3.60%               
美银美林                     25万                           3.60%               
澳洲联邦银行                     25万                           3.60%                       
凯投宏观                     25万                           3.60%          4.20%
花旗                             22.5万                           3.60%               
美国联信银行                     25.2万                           3.70%                
德国商业银行                     24万                           3.60%               
瑞士信贷                     19万                           3.60%          4.20%
德意志银行                     20万                           3.60%               
高盛                             25万                           3.60%          4.20%
汇丰                             23.5万                           3.70%          4.30%
摩根大通                     20万                           3.60%                
杰富瑞                             25万                           3.50%          4.30%
劳埃德银行                    22.5万                          3.60%                  4.20%
摩根士丹利                    27万                           3.60%               
野村证券                    25.5万                           3.70%               
渣打银行                    22.5万                           3.60%          4.20%
加拿大丰业银行                    27.5万                           3.60%          4.20%
道明证券                     24万                           3.60%          4.30%
瑞银                             17.5万                           3.60%               
西太平洋银行                     19万                           3.60%               
前值                             33.9万                           3.70%          4.30%
本次预期                             22.5万                           3.70%          4.20%

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